Predictions: The Ugly Sweater of Financial Markets

The months of November, December, and January are chock full of traditions. Family dinners, presents, tree-cutting journeys, ugly sweater parties, and matching pajamas (don’t ask) are all emblematic of this time of year. In the financial markets, the equivalent to the ugly sweater party is the making of market predictions for the year ahead. Sure,…

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How Trend Following Handles Market Shocks & Drawdowns

Spiral staircase winding down

People often disagree about the best way to board a plan. Some people think it would be better if people by windows boarded first; that way, anyone in an aisle or middle seat wouldn’t have to keep standing up. Meanwhile, others believe the Southwest Airlines style of pick-any-open-seat is optimal. These “gut feelings” about this…

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